Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000753 0.000860 0.000974 0.001104 0.001246 0.001398 0.001571
2025-01-19 0.000569 0.000716 0.000882 0.001083 0.001318 0.001583 0.001901
2025-01-26 0.000493 0.000659 0.000856 0.001106 0.001408 0.001760 0.002196
2025-02-02 0.000432 0.000611 0.000834 0.001124 0.001487 0.001922 0.002477
2025-02-09 0.000370 0.000552 0.000788 0.001105 0.001515 0.002017 0.002672
2025-02-16 0.000317 0.000500 0.000744 0.001083 0.001533 0.002097 0.002847
2025-02-23 0.000286 0.000473 0.000729 0.001096 0.001593 0.002228 0.003087
2025-03-02 0.000258 0.000446 0.000712 0.001103 0.001643 0.002347 0.003313
2025-03-09 0.000223 0.000405 0.000671 0.001073 0.001641 0.002396 0.003447
2025-03-16 0.000192 0.000367 0.000632 0.001042 0.001635 0.002436 0.003568
2025-03-23 0.000173 0.000345 0.000614 0.001040 0.001667 0.002527 0.003759
2025-03-30 0.000156 0.000326 0.000598 0.001039 0.001700 0.002619 0.003951
2025-04-06 0.000138 0.000302 0.000575 0.001026 0.001716 0.002689 0.004117
2025-04-13 0.000120 0.000278 0.000548 0.001006 0.001719 0.002741 0.004259
2025-04-20 0.000112 0.000270 0.000548 0.001028 0.001786 0.002883 0.004530
2025-04-27 0.000105 0.000262 0.000545 0.001045 0.001845 0.003017 0.004790
2025-05-04 0.000092 0.000243 0.000523 0.001027 0.001850 0.003070 0.004937
2025-05-11 0.000080 0.000224 0.000499 0.001006 0.001848 0.003113 0.005068
2025-05-18 0.000074 0.000216 0.000495 0.001018 0.001898 0.003233 0.005314
2025-05-25 0.000068 0.000207 0.000488 0.001025 0.001939 0.003341 0.005542
2025-06-01 0.000059 0.000189 0.000463 0.000997 0.001922 0.003360 0.005639
2025-06-08 0.000051 0.000173 0.000438 0.000968 0.001903 0.003372 0.005727
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000164 0.000428 0.000966 0.001927 0.003454 0.005919